Startup Emberos Shows AI ‘Share of Prompt’ Can Predict Sales With Wicked: For Good Case Study

AI’s Crystal Ball: How ‘Share of Prompt’ Unlocks Future Sales for Modern Brands

The lights dim, the trailers roll, and a hush falls over the packed cinema.

For a moment, the world outside fades, replaced by the magic on screen.

But behind this seamless experience, a different kind of drama unfolds—the nail-biting wait for box office numbers.

For decades, studio executives and marketers have poured over early surveys, social media chatter, and cryptic whispers, trying to gauge if their latest blockbuster would be a hit or a miss.

It was a high-stakes gamble, often feeling more like divination than data science, with decisions made on lagging indicators, always looking in the rearview mirror.

In a world now powered by AI, that rearview mirror is rapidly transforming into a crystal ball, offering not just glimpses, but clear, actionable foresight.

Emberos, an AI Brand Orchestration startup, demonstrated that its ‘AI Share of Prompt’ metric can predict box office sales with 92% accuracy up to 10 days earlier than traditional methods.

This establishes it as a crucial, forward-looking indicator for consumer demand across industries, ushering in the era of Generative Engine Optimization (GEO).

Why This Matters Now: The New Predictive Edge

Imagine knowing, with remarkable certainty, what customers are about to do, not just what they did.

This isn’t science fiction; it’s the new reality that companies like Emberos are ushering in.

They are leveraging signals from AI assistants—the very tools consumers turn to for recommendations—to predict market outcomes with astounding precision.

This newfound capability offers a profound advantage in a marketplace where anticipation is everything.

Consider the recent case of Wicked: For Good.

Traditional tracking tools would have provided insights much later, leaving studios in a reactive stance.

Yet, Emberos, by analyzing AI signals, predicted the film’s opening weekend box office revenue with a remarkable 92% accuracy, doing so a full 10 days earlier than conventional methods (Emberos, 2025).

This isn’t just about movie tickets; it’s about a direct correlation between early AI visibility and real-world performance.

This hints at a future where marketers can shape demand before it even fully materializes.

One point of ‘AI Share of Prompt’ lift, for a tentpole film like Wicked, correlated to an impressive $400,000 in opening-weekend revenue (Emberos, 2025).

This is a game-changer for sales forecasting.

The Core Problem: Playing Catch-Up in a Fast-Forward World

For too long, marketing and business intelligence have operated on a fundamental delay.

We have relied on metrics that tell us what has already happened: clicks, likes, shares, purchase history, and survey responses.

While valuable for post-mortems and trend analysis, these are lagging indicators.

By the time the data surfaces, market dynamics may have already shifted, and opportunities, or threats, may have passed us by.

The counterintuitive insight here is that AI, which many perceive as merely summarizing past information, is actually a powerful harbinger of future intent.

When someone asks an AI assistant, “What should I see this weekend?”, “Where should I go for dinner?”, or “What’s the best laptop to buy?”, they are expressing a clear, immediate intent.

This intent, previously hidden or diffused across countless individual thoughts, now aggregates within AI systems, creating a powerful predictive analytics signal.

The ‘Wicked’ Revelation: A Mini Case Study

Emberos, an AI Brand Orchestration startup, stepped into this gap, recognizing the untapped potential of AI assistants like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Perplexity.

Their approach hinges on a metric they call ‘AI Share of Prompt’.

This measures how often a brand, product, or title appears in AI-generated answers to user queries.

This fundamentally shifts the focus from “what did people click?” to “what are people about to do?”

The proof, as they say, is in the pudding.

Their prediction for Wicked: For Good was not an isolated lucky guess.

Emberos successfully replicated this predictive accuracy with other titles, including Running Man and Now You See Me: Now You Don’t (Emberos, 2025).

This demonstrates that the methodology isn’t a one-off anomaly but a consistent, reliable indicator of consumer demand.

It’s a seismic shift, indicating that AI visibility isn’t just a vanity metric; it’s a direct conduit to market foresight.

What the Research Really Says: Unpacking the Predictive Power of AI

AI Signals Offer Unprecedented Lead Time for Sales Predictions

Emberos proved that AI signals can predict outcomes like box office revenue with 92% accuracy, up to 10 days earlier than traditional tracking methods (Emberos, 2025).

This early insight bypasses the delays inherent in surveys, social listening, and search trends.

For businesses, this means the ability to adjust marketing spend, fine-tune inventory, optimize distribution, or even shift product launches with a significant lead time.

Imagine a retail brand knowing a popular product category is about to surge in demand a week before it shows up in Google Trends.

This proactive stance can significantly impact competitive advantage and revenue.

‘Share of Prompt’ Directly Correlates to Tangible Revenue

Beyond mere prediction, ‘Share of Prompt’ has a measurable financial impact.

For a major film like Wicked, a single point of ‘Share of Prompt’ lift correlated to $400,000 in opening-weekend revenue (Emberos, 2025).

This metric moves AI visibility from a conceptual benefit to a quantifiable asset.

It provides a clear ROI for investing in Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) efforts, allowing brands to justify resources and strategy shifts with concrete financial projections.

It establishes ‘Share of Prompt’ as a powerful new addition to marketing metrics.

AI Signals Mark the Next Evolution of Market Intelligence

The trajectory of early market indicators has historically moved from surveys to search, then to social media, and now, definitively, to AI signals (Emberos, 2025).

As Justin Inman, CEO of Emberos, succinctly puts it:

Clicks tell you what people did.

Prompts tell you what they’re about to do.

(Emberos, 2025).

Businesses that fail to adapt their strategy to incorporate AI signals risk being left behind.

Just as SEO became indispensable, GEO is rapidly maturing into a measurable discipline, requiring dedicated attention to how your brand appears within AI assistants when users express their buying or seeking intent.

It’s no longer about merely optimizing for keywords, but for relevance within an AI’s conversational context.

A Playbook You Can Use Today: Navigating the GEO Landscape

The shift to AI-driven visibility isn’t just for tech giants.

Every brand, from CPG to travel to politics, will need to understand and implement a Generative Engine Optimization strategy.

Here are actionable steps to embrace this new frontier:

  1. Monitor Your ‘AI Share of Prompt’ Actively. You can’t optimize what you don’t measure.

    Just as you track your search engine rankings, begin to understand how often your brand, products, or services appear in AI-generated answers for relevant queries.

    Emberos’s platform, for instance, is designed to enable brands to “see how they appear inside major AI systems, monitor visibility shifts in real time, predict demand, and quantify impact” (Emberos, 2025).

    This real-time monitoring is critical.

  2. Optimize for Conversational Context, Not Just Keywords. AI assistants respond to natural language questions.

    Your optimization efforts should focus on providing clear, comprehensive, and contextually rich information that AI systems can easily parse and present.

    Think about the common questions users would ask an AI assistant about your offering.

  3. Analyze Predictive Signals for Early Demand Formation. The core advantage of ‘Share of Prompt’ is its forward-looking nature.

    “By watching a brand’s AI visibility closely, you can see demand forming before it shows up in surveys or sales,” notes Justin Inman (Emberos, 2025).

    Implement systems to identify surges or shifts in ‘Share of Prompt’ as potential early indicators of future market trends or box office prediction if you are in entertainment.

  4. Integrate GEO into Your Content Strategy. Your existing content – FAQs, product descriptions, “how-to” guides, thought leadership – can be optimized for AI systems.

    Ensure your brand information is consistent, accurate, and easily digestible for AI models.

    This means structuring content not just for human readers, but for AI interpretation.

  5. Educate Your Team on the Value of AI Visibility. This is a new paradigm.

    Your marketing, sales, and even product development teams need to understand why AI visibility is imperative.

    As Justin Inman warns, “If you aren’t optimizing your AI visibility, you’re missing out on real revenue” (Emberos, 2025).

    Foster a culture that views AI not just as a tool, but as a critical channel for consumer engagement and demand capture.

  6. Experiment Beyond Your Core Category. While the Wicked case study focuses on entertainment, Emberos’s system is built to work across any category where AI systems are used for recommendations (Emberos, 2025).

    This includes retail, CPG, travel, sports, and politics.

    Start small with experiments in adjacent areas or new product lines.

  7. Quantify the Impact. Just as you measure the value of a click, now measure the value of a prompt.

    Tie increases in ‘Share of Prompt’ to tangible business outcomes: website traffic, lead generation, or direct sales.

    This data-driven approach will solidify GEO’s place in your overall strategy.

Risks, Trade-offs, and Ethics: Navigating the New Frontier Responsibly

While the potential of ‘AI Share of Prompt’ is immense, it’s crucial to navigate this new landscape with caution and a strong ethical compass.

Risks:

Over-reliance. Placing too much trust in any single metric can be dangerous.

‘Share of Prompt’ should complement, not entirely replace, other valuable market intelligence.

Misinterpretation of Signals. AI signals are complex.

Without robust analytics and human insight, a surge in prompts might be misinterpreted (e.g., negative public interest instead of positive demand).

Algorithmic Bias. AI systems can inherit biases from their training data, potentially impacting how different brands or demographics are represented.

“Gaming” the System. The temptation to manipulate AI systems for higher ‘Share of Prompt’ could lead to unethical practices, eroding user trust in AI recommendations and the brands themselves.

Mitigation Guidance:

Diversify Data Sources. Use ‘Share of Prompt’ as a leading indicator, but cross-reference its insights with traditional metrics and qualitative research.

Human Oversight. Maintain expert human analysis to interpret AI signals and ensure contextual understanding.

Transparency and Ethical AI Guidelines. Advocate for and adhere to transparent practices in AI optimization.

Avoid deceptive tactics that might mislead AI assistants or their users.

Focus on Value. Ultimately, optimizing for ‘Share of Prompt’ should be about genuinely serving user intent and providing valuable information, not just about visibility for its own sake.

Tools, Metrics, and Cadence: Building Your GEO Stack

Tools & Platforms:

AI Visibility Platforms. Solutions like Emberos offer specialized capabilities to monitor and manage your brand’s presence within major AI systems.

Natural Language Processing (NLP) Tools. For understanding user intent behind prompts and optimizing your content accordingly.

CRM & Sales Analytics. To correlate ‘Share of Prompt’ with actual business outcomes.

Key Performance Indicators (KPIs):

‘Share of Prompt’ Percentage. Your brand’s share of voice in AI-generated answers for relevant queries.

Prompt-to-Conversion Rate. How often ‘Share of Prompt’ leads to a measurable action (e.g., website visit, lead, sale).

Lead Time Advantage. The number of days or weeks ‘Share of Prompt’ predicts trends before traditional metrics.

Revenue Attribution. Quantifiable revenue directly linked to ‘Share of Prompt’ optimization efforts (e.g., the $400,000 correlation for Wicked).

AI-Generated Answer Sentiment. Monitoring the tone and accuracy of AI responses about your brand.

Review Cadence:

Weekly. Monitor ‘Share of Prompt’ shifts, identify emerging trends, and track competitor visibility.

Bi-Weekly. Review performance against KPIs, make tactical adjustments to content or messaging.

Monthly. Analyze long-term trends, assess ROI of GEO initiatives, and refine strategic objectives.

Glossary

  • AI Share of Prompt: A metric measuring how often a brand or topic appears in AI-generated answers to user questions, indicating predictive consumer intent.

  • AI Signals: Data points generated by user interactions with AI assistants, revealing early signs of consumer demand.

  • Brand Orchestration: The strategic management of a brand’s presence and perception across all channels, including emerging AI systems.

  • Consumer Demand: The quantity of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to purchase at various prices in a given period.

  • Generative Engine Optimization (GEO): The discipline of optimizing content and brand presence for visibility and relevance within generative AI systems.

  • Predictive Analytics: The use of data, statistical algorithms, and machine learning techniques to identify the likelihood of future outcomes based on historical data.

Conclusion: Shaping Tomorrow’s Markets Today

The era of merely reacting to market shifts is fading.

In its place, a new paradigm is emerging, powered by the subtle yet potent signals within AI conversations.

From predicting box office blockbusters to anticipating retail surges, ‘Share of Prompt’ offers a real-time pulse on what people are about to do.

It transforms marketing from a game of catch-up into a strategic exercise in foresight.

Justin Inman’s assertion that:

Clicks tell you what people did.

Prompts tell you what they’re about to do.

isn’t just a catchy phrase; it’s a foundational truth for the modern economy (Emberos, 2025).

Brands that embrace Generative Engine Optimization will not only gain a competitive edge but will also forge deeper, more intuitive connections with consumers by meeting their needs precisely when and where they emerge.

The future of market leadership belongs to those who learn to listen to the whispers of AI today.

Are you ready to stop chasing demand and start shaping it?

References

Emberos.

(2025, November 24).

Startup Emberos Shows AI ‘Share of Prompt’ Can Predict Sales With Wicked: For Good Case Study.

Author:

Business & Marketing Coach, life caoch Leadership  Consultant.

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